Archive | Health Care Bill – Washington

Starbucks CEO rethinks health law position

By JENNIFER HABERKORN

Starbucks chief executive Howard Schultz says the health overhaul law’s employer requirements will impose “too great” a pressure on small businesses.

Schultz supported the law as he watched his company’s health insurance tab — $250 million as of last year — surmount its coffee bill. But he told The Seattle Times in an interview published Tuesday that he’s now worried about what happens when it takes full effect in 2014:

We have faced double-digit increases for almost five consecutive years with no end in sight. So, when I was invited to the White House prior to health care being reformed, I was very supportive of the president’s plan, primarily because I felt it was literally a fracturing of humanity for almost 50 million Americans not to have health insurance.

There’s no plan that would be a perfect plan, but the intent of the bill and the heartfelt commitment to insure the uninsured is the right approach. I think as the bill is currently written and if it was going to land in 2014 under the current guidelines, the pressure on small businesses, because of the mandate, is too great.

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APPEALS COURT SPEEDS UP HEALTH OVERHAUL APPEAL

Associated Press –

Mar. 11: A federal appeals court has agreed to act swiftly in considering a Florida judge’s ruling that President Obama’s health care overhaul is unconstitutional.

The 11th Circuit Court of Appeals in Atlanta said Friday that it had agreed to expedite the appeal, setting a faster timetable than even the federal government had requested.

The decision means the federal government must file its first set of court papers on the issues in the case by April 4, and the state of Florida has until May 4 to file its papers. The federal government would file additional papers by May 18.

The appeals court said it had not made a decision on a request that the initial review be held before all 10 federal judges.

The Justice Department said in a filing this week that expedited treatment of the case was warranted because of the far-reaching nature of the decision by a federal judge who declared the entire law unconstitutional.

U.S. District Judge Roger Vinson ruled against the Obama administration’s health care overhaul on grounds that Congress exceeded its authority by requiring nearly all Americans to carry health insurance.

Twenty-six states challenged the law in the Florida case. Another federal judge ruled against the law, while three other federal judges upheld the law.

A spokesman for South Carolina Attorney General Alan Wilson said he was “pleased with today’s 11th Circuit Court of Appeal’s order fast tracking the appeal of the Health Care Act. South Carolina and the nation need this important legal challenge answered sooner rather than later.”


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The Supreme Court and the health-care mandate muddle

By George F. Will
Sunday, March 13, 2011

When the Supreme Court considers whether Congress has the constitutional power to compel individuals to buy health insurance, the argument supporting Congress may rest on a non sequitur and a semantic fiat. A judge’s recent ruling argues that the insurance mandate must be constitutional because Obamacare would collapse without it. A forthcoming law review article agrees with this and with the judge’s idea that, regarding commerce, being inactive is an activity.

Obamacare does indeed require the mandate: Because the law requires insurance companies to sell coverage to people regardless of their preexisting conditions, many people might delay buying insurance until they become sick. But is the fact that the mandate is crucial to the law’s functioning dispositive?

U.S. District Judge Gladys Kessler’s ruling that the mandate is constitutional conflates moral, policy and constitutional considerations. She says that people who choose “not to purchase health insurance will benefit greatly when they become ill, as they surely will, from the free health care which must be provided by emergency rooms and hospitals to the sick and dying who show up on their doorstep.” So “those who choose not to purchase health insurance will ultimately get a ‘free ride’ on the backs of those Americans who have made responsible choices to provide for the illness we all must face.”

Her disapproval is neither a legal argument nor pertinent to one. The question remains: Does Congress’s power to regulate interstate commerce entitle it to create a health-care regime that requires the mandate?

Mark Hall of Wake Forest University, in an article for the University of Pennsylvania Law Review, says there would be constitutional “uncertainty over the mandate in isolation.” But it is “inextricably intertwined” with Obamacare’s “other insurance regulations” – e.g., those pertaining to preexisting conditions – “which indisputably are constitutional.” So the “strongest defense” of Congress’s power to enact the mandate is “the acknowledged undesirability, if not impossibility” of the regulations regarding preexisting conditions, absent the mandate.

Hall says that the mandate “meets a high threshold of necessity to accomplish the overall reform scheme, clearly within congressional power, to create a market structure in which no one is ever again medically uninsurable.” But unless we postulate that Congress has whatever power is required to create such a market structure, this question remains: Does the fact that Congress has the constitutional power to do X – say, guarantee universal access to insurance – make Y constitutional merely because Y is necessary for doing X?

Congress has the constitutional power to combat political corruption, the “appearance” thereof and the “circumvention” of laws for this purpose. But suppose Congress, exercising this power by regulating campaign finances, decides that abridging freedom of speech is necessary for its anti-corruption measures. This necessity, defined by this preference, does not make such abridgement constitutional. The Supreme Court said as much concerning McCain-Feingold.

The mandate’s defenders note that the Constitution says Congress has the power to “make all laws which shall be necessary and proper for carrying into execution” its enumerated powers, one of which is to regulate interstate commerce. “Necessary and proper.” An unconstitutional law is improper.

Does the mandate acquire derivative constitutionality merely by Congress making the mandate necessary for something Congress wants to do in the exercise of the enumerated power of regulating interstate commerce? If so, what would not acquire such constitutionality?

Madison’s constitutional architecture for limited government will be vitiated unless the court places some limits on what constitutes commerce eligible for regulation. So the question becomes: Is the inactivity of not buying insurance a commercial activity Congress can proscribe because it has economic consequences?

Hall says it is unclear what constitutes “pure inaction.” But virtually nothing qualifies as “pure” inactivity if, as he says, “the passivity of non-purchasing decisions does not rob them of their inherently economic nature.” Judge Kessler disdains the distinction between activity and inactivity as “of little significance.” Her Orwellian theory is that government can regulate the activity – the mental activity – of choosing not to participate in a commercial activity.

Hall perfunctorily says that “some limit” on Congress’s commerce power “is necessary” but then says “democratic electoral constraint” – trusting “the political process itself to set limits” – will suffice to restrain government.

The question about the mandate is, however, whether a political institution has traduced constitutional limits placed on it. Because the Framers prudently doubted the sufficiency of “democratic electoral constraint” – because they were wary about “the political process” policing itself – the Constitution was written.

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FEW SUPPORT ‘INDIVIDUAL MANDATE’ IN HEALTH CARE REFORM LAW, POLL FINDS

HealthDay News – Mar. 7:

Half of U.S. adults still oppose the “individual mandate” clause in the new health care reform law that requires all Americans not already insured to purchase health insurance, while only 22 percent support it, a new Harris Interactive/HealthDay poll finds.

But certain arguments in favor of the mandate seem to sway opinion back toward support for it. For example, 71 percent of the more than 3,000 adults polled in mid-February agreed with the suggestion that “for health insurance to work, it is necessary to include people who are healthy in order to help pay for those who are sick.”

That seems to indicate that “while the individual mandate is still widely unpopular, indeed by far the most unpopular part of the Affordable Care Act [ACA], some arguments in favor of it are supported by most people,” said Humphrey Taylor, chairman of The Harris Poll, a service of Harris Interactive.

Prior Harris Interactive/HealthDay polls have consistently shown that the individual mandate is the only part of the Affordable Care Act that is unpopular with a majority of Americans.

Half of those interviewed for the new poll felt the individual mandate was unconstitutional, while 20 percent thought it was constitutional, and 30 percent weren’t sure. Among Republicans, 78 percent said the mandate was unconstitutional, compared with 31 percent of Democrats.

Most experts now believe that the constitutionality of the individual mandate will only be settled by the U.S. Supreme Court. However, only slightly more than a third (36 percent) of those polled believe that the nation’s highest court would be able to decide the issue in a non-political, non-partisan way.

Thirty-nine percent felt that any Supreme Court decision would be colored by the justices’ political leanings. “Most people do not feel that the Court is above politics,” Taylor said.

In recent lower court rulings on the Affordable Care Act, three judges appointed by Democratic administrations have so far supported the law, while two judges appointed by Republican administrations have ruled it unconstitutional.

Devon M. Herrick is a senior fellow at the National Center for Policy Analysis, a nonpartisan, nonprofit think tank focused on free-market approaches to public policy. He believes that the Supreme Court will largely look to the letter of the law when making any decision.

“I do not believe federal judges will rule for or against the Affordable Care Act based solely on their political affiliation,” he said. “However, differing political views can undoubtedly influence a judge’s interpretation of whether the ACA’s individual mandate violates the Constitution.”

The new poll found that the nation as a whole is still split on how it feels about the Affordable Care Act overall, with 39 percent of respondents opposed to the reform package, 34 percent in favor and 27 percent still undecided.

Most of this division cleaves along party lines, with 72 percent of Republicans wanting to repeal all or most of the legislation, compared to 15 percent of Democrats.

Smaller majorities agreed in the new poll with other arguments that would support the individual mandate. For instance, 56 percent agreed with the statement, “If everyone is required to have health insurance, including healthy people, it will make the average cost of insurance less expensive.”

And 51 percent agreed with the contention that “requiring insurance companies to provide health insurance to people with preexisting conditions will not work unless everyone is required to have insurance” a major argument often put forward as to why the individual mandate is necessary.

The AARP said it agrees with that reasoning. “Our members have been telling us for decades about the problems they’ve had getting or keeping access to health insurance because of their age or health history,” said Nancy LeaMond, executive vice president of AARP’s State and National Group. “The implementation of the ACA, which includes the individual mandate, is necessary to keep insurance companies from blocking coverage due to a person’s age or pre-existing conditions, or dropping coverage when someone gets sick.”

Other arguments in favor of the individual mandate didn’t get majority support in the new poll. For example, more people (54 percent) disagreed than agreed (46 percent) with this statement: “If it is constitutional for the states to require people to buy car insurance or wear seat belts, it should be constitutional for the federal government to require people to buy health insurance if they do not already have it.”

There are parts of the Affordable Care Act that still garner widespread support among Americans. For example, a majority of both Republicans and Democrats like the provision that bars insurance companies from refusing to cover people with pre-existing conditions.

“The individual mandate is the most controversial portion of the Affordable Care Act. Less than one-quarter of those surveyed support it,” Herrick noted. “Yet, there is strong public support that people with pre-existing conditions should not face discrimination when purchasing coverage. The problem for policymakers is how to reconcile these two conflicting views.”

The Harris Interactive poll of 3,419 Americans over the age of 18 was conducted online within the United States between Feb. 16-18

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Obama administration keeps giving out Obamacare waivers, despite new Republican spotlight

By Matthew Boyle – The Daily Caller

Although House Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Rep. Fred Upton, Michigan Republican, is about to launch a congressional investigation into Obamacare waiver selection, the administration continues to approve waivers from health-care law for labor unions and others. In fact, since Upton first requested documentation from Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius in late January, the administration has issued 307 more Obamacare waivers, 47 of which for labor unions. That brings the total number of waivers to 1,040. Labor unions received 269 of those.

That means unions received about 26 percent of all waivers the administration has given out, but only about 12 percent of workers nationwide are unionized.

The waivers allow recipients to delay compliance with an Obamacare requirement that makes companies — or group policyholders like labor unions — provide more coverage for their employees or workers this year. Upton has said the administration is favoring labor unions over companies, and wants to know why Obama has allowed them a way out. Rep. Cliff Stearns, Florida Republican and the chairman of Energy and Commerce’s subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations, said it’s “ironic” that the administration would exempt people from its prized legislative victory.

The waivers allow recipients to delay meeting the Obamacare stipulation that requires companies and group policyholders to increase the amount of coverage their employees get annually. The waivers are good for one year, but recipients can re-apply for them every year. That amount is set to increase every year through 2014 as HHS phases out annual coverage limits companies were previously allowed to provide for employees.

“Ironically, if you consider listening to the administration for the last two years, you’d wonder why anyone would need to be protected from this law,” Stearns said in opening remarks for a hearing he was holding on Obamacare waivers on Feb. 16. “Yet, today, we learn that over 2.5 million people have been exempted from the administration’s healthcare plan through these waivers.”

Since that hearing, Obama’s administration has issued 38 more waivers, which Stearns said are there to “protect” people from Obamacare.

“Two and a half million people need to be protected, literally, from the devastating effects of the health-care bill the administration has passed. Yes, protected,” Stearns said. “Under the very standards to determine whether a waiver will be granted, a company or insurer needs to show that, unless a waiver was granted, beneficiaries were either going to face a significant premium increase or a significant reduction in access to benefits.”

What the administration says waivers are for is to exempt certain companies or policyholders from “annual limit requirements.” These applications are “reviewed on a case by case basis by department officials who look at a series of factors including whether or not a premium increase is large or if a significant number of enrollees would lose access to their current plan because the coverage would not be offered in the absence of a waiver.”

Some industries and groups receiving Obamacare waivers are:

* Several different local union chapters, including the Teamsters, SEIU, UFCW, Steelworkers, Communications Workers of America, Social Service Employees Union, United Federation of Teachers, public sector unions including police officers’ unions
* Lots of local schools
* Several specialized health service providers for issues including mental health, eye care, and x-ray and imaging companies, and rehabilitation centers
* Small banks and financial institutions

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Experts: Individual mandate might fail

By DAVID NATHER | 3/1/11 4:25 AM EST

Forget all the shouting you’ve heard about the new mandate to buy health coverage. Forget the lawsuits, the cries of “Big Government” from Republicans and the Democrats’ claims that the new health care law would fall apart without it.

What if it just plain doesn’t work?

That’s a real possibility, according to health care economists and analysts across the political spectrum. They’re warning that the penalties in the law are actually so low — despite all the protests they’re causing — that a lot of people may decide it’s cheaper to pay the fines than to buy coverage.

If that happens, the “individual mandate” might not bring in enough healthy, uninsured people to cover the costs of sicker people and keep everyone’s insurance premiums stable. And those goals are the whole point of including the mandate in the law in the first place.

It’s not a topic that has gotten a lot of attention, except in quiet conversations in Washington health policy circles. And you won’t hear much about it as long as the focus is on the state lawsuits, the GOP attempts to repeal or defund the law and the Obama administration’s insistence that Americans have a responsibility to get health coverage.

But some of those who have looked at the law closely believe there’s a good chance that, when the mandate begins in 2014, it will still be more expensive to buy health insurance than to stay uninsured and pay the tax penalty. That means the law won’t work as designed to cut health care costs. Since everyone with pre-existing conditions can get coverage starting that year, insurers will need healthy people to pay premiums to help cover their costs. If the mandate doesn’t bring enough of them into the system, premiums could shoot sky-high for everyone else.

A failed mandate would mean that Republicans and other opponents of the law have spent a lot of time and money fighting a requirement that has no real power. It would also mean that President Barack Obama and congressional Democrats are spending a lot of political capital defending an unpopular mandate that won’t even do what it’s supposed to do.

“The mandate is a disaster politically,” said Robert Laszewski, a health care consultant who has written about its weaknesses. “It doesn’t work politically. It might not work constitutionally. And it sure doesn’t work in terms of preserving the integrity of the health insurance market.”

The problem becomes clear when you do the math.

Under the law, the penalty for not having coverage is phased in. When it starts in 2014, the penalty will be $95 or 1 percent of an individual’s income, whichever is greater. And when it’s fully in place, starting in 2016, it will cost either $695 or 2.5 percent of income.

What does that mean in real terms? A family making $55,125 a year — 250 percent of the federal poverty line — would face a $1,378 fine if it didn’t have health insurance (that’s 2.5 percent of its income). But it could pay up to $4,438 in premiums if it bought health insurance. And that’s after the tax credits the law would give it to make the insurance cheaper.

Critics on the right, including analysts at the conservative Heritage Foundation, have pointed out the problem. But so have analysts on the left, including Paul Starr, co-editor of the liberal American Prospect. Uwe Reinhardt, a respected health care economist at Princeton University, has written that the penalties are so low that young and healthy people might just decide to pay the fine.

“Where are the incentives? The incentives are going to be for millions of Americans to go bare,” said Robert Moffit, a senior fellow at The Heritage Foundation. “You can save thousands of dollars each year. Why would you be insured?”

Not everyone sees it that way. Administration officials point out that the Congressional Budget Office decided the mandate was strong enough that 94 percent of Americans will end up with health coverage, compared with 83 percent now.

That’s only a bit lower than Massachusetts, 98 percent of whose residents have health insurance — and with a weaker individual mandate than the federal law, according to Len Nichols, director of the Center for Health Policy Research and Ethics at George Mason University.

Massachusetts might not be a good model to predict how the rest of the country would react to the mandate, though, because it started with higher health coverage rates than red states such as Texas and its political climate might have been more receptive to an individual mandate, Nichols said.

There are other reasons the federal mandate’s weaknesses might not decide its fate. For one thing, it’s not clear how many Americans will actually whip out their calculators, figure out what 2.5 percent of their income is and decide that health insurance is more expensive.

And some health care analysts argue that most people will make their decision based on a gut feeling — how much is health care worth to them at that moment — rather than weighing all factors in a completely rational way. “People could save money by not buying health insurance even with the individual mandate. That much is clear,” said David Kendall, a senior fellow at Third Way, a centrist Democratic think tank. But “if purchasing health insurance was an entirely rational exercise,” Kendall said, “we wouldn’t need to require people to buy it.”

Finally, some analysts say the generosity of the tax credits to help people buy insurance — rather than the mandate itself — will push people to go ahead and buy coverage.

“The subsidies are more important than the mandate by far,” said Gary Claxton, director of the Health Care Marketplace Project at the Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation. “Given that most people want to have health insurance, and the subsides are pretty good, there’s already a pretty strong incentive to get coverage.” The mandate, he said, is just “another impetus that pushes you over the top.”

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Obama Offers Flexibility to Implement Single Payer Faster

Obamacare remains tremendously unpopular with the American people. According to the latest Kaiser Family Foundation poll, only 14 percent of Americans believe they have benefited from the law, compared to 17 percent who say the law has already harmed them. Only 28 percent of Americans believe Obamacare will help the nation’s economy, compared to 45 percent who believe it will make it worse. Overall, 48 percent of Americans oppose Obamacare while only 43 percent favor it. Some provisions, like the individual mandate, are particularly unpopular, with a full 67 percent of Americans favoring its repeal.

President Barack Obama knows all of this, which is why he told the visiting National Governors Association at the White House yesterday that he supports changing the date that states can begin applying for waivers from some Obamacare mandates from 2017 up to 2014. Specifically, the President endorsed legislation by Senators Ron Wyden (D–OR) and Scott Brown (R–MA), claiming: “It will give you flexibility more quickly while still guaranteeing the American people reform.” President Obama is at least half right here. Wyden–Brown would give states some flexibility—but only the flexibility to implement a government take over of health care faster. Heritage Foundation Center for Policy Innovation Director Stuart Butler explained in the New England Journal of Medicine:
One [problem] is that [Wyden-Brown] still locks the states into guaranteeing a generous and costly level of benefits. True, a state could propose alternative benefit requirements if they had the same actuarial value as those in the [health care bill]. But the requirements go well beyond basic coverage, and the HHS secretary is the one who defines “at least as comprehensive” benefits. …

Another major problem with the bill is that since ultimate waiver authority rests with the HHS secretary, the waivers granted would probably reflect the administration’s preferences. Senator Wyden claims that his legislation would allow conservative states to opt out of much of the [bill] and implement consumer-driven coverage. But he admits that the secretary, not the state, has the final word over what is permitted.

In essence Wyden–Brown is simply a vehicle for giving deep-blue progressive states the power to institute a single-payer government takeover of health care faster. Politico even confirmed this later in the day when it reported on a White House conference call with liberal allies:
Health care advisers Nancy-Ann DeParle and Stephanie Cutter stressed on the off-record call that the rule change would allow states to implement single-payer health care plans—as Vermont seeks to—and true government-run plans, like Connecticut’s Sustinet.

The source on the call summarizes the officials’ point—which is not one the Administration has sought to make publicly—as casting the new “flexibility” language as an opportunity to try more progressive, not less expansive, approaches on the state level.

“They are trying to split the baby here: on one hand tell supporters this is good for their pet issues, versus a message for the general public that the [President] is responding to what he is hearing and that he is being sensible,” the source emails.

That is exactly what is going on here. The President knows his signature accomplishment, Obamacare, is fundamentally unpopular with the American people. So he is trying to appear “flexible” on the issue, while in reality all he is doing is enabling his progressive allies to expand the reach of government even faster.

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The Massachusetts Health-Reform Mess The Bay State has shown the risks of ObamaCare.

By JOHN E. CALFEE

The biggest problem with ObamaCare is that it is bereft of proven ways to curtail increases in health-care costs. This has given rise to unending speculation about what will happen to these costs when the law’s main provisions go into effect in 2014.

To get a glimpse of the future, take a look at Massachusetts, whose 2006 health-care overhaul was by all accounts the model for the federal Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act passed last year. It was launched in promising circumstances: The Bay State already had the lowest percentage of uninsured people in the nation, and some of ObamaCare’s provisions such as community rating (everyone can buy insurance at the same price, regardless of health) were already in place.

So, how are things going in Massachusetts? The easy part was getting more people insured. Coverage increased from about 88% to 96%. But the number of emergency room visits, which everyone expected to drop once people had to purchase insurance, is still going up. Surveys show roughly half the visits are unnecessary. Surveys also indicate that finding a primary care physician is becoming more difficult.

There are other troubling signs. Cities and townships were expected to move their employees into cheaper health policies through the new state-sponsored insurance exchange, the Health Care Connector. None have—because unions fear the very tools that keep costs competitive in the private sector, such as co-pays. (Gov. Deval Patrick wants a new law to force the unions into the Connector.) Despite an individual insurance mandate, thousands of consumers wait to purchase coverage until they require costly procedures and then exit after paying a modest penalty. That makes insurance more expensive for everyone else.

Massachusetts reformers deferred cost control to the vague prospect of a “Round 2” of reform—much as congressional Democrats did a year ago when they passed ObamaCare. Meanwhile, economists John Cogan, Glenn Hubbard and Daniel Kessler reported in the Forum for Health Economics & Policy (2010) that insurance premiums for individuals (alone or in employer-sponsored group plans) increased 6% to 7% beyond what they would have without the reform. For small employers, the increases are about 14% beyond those in the rest of the nation. Four years after reform, Massachusetts still has the highest insurance premiums in the nation, and the gap is getting wider.

In 2010, insurance firms announced premium increases of 10% to 30% in the individual and small-group market. Gov. Patrick, on the verge of a tough re-election race, had the state insurance commissioner deny the higher rates.

Insurance firms protested that they increased premiums because they had to deal with entrenched providers, especially hospitals, most notably the academic giants of Boston and Cambridge. Then the state prepared to introduce highly intrusive price controls over those providers—only to discover that this would provoke formidable political opposition while encountering myriad practical difficulties.

Last month Round 2 arrived. Gov. Patrick introduced a bill that will impose de facto price controls on everyone from solo primary care doctors to prestigious academic hospital systems. An 18-member board will decide how and how much providers should be paid, and the bill gives regulators the power to force private insurers to accept these fiats. Some 30 states experimented with such rate-setting in the 1970s and ’80s. Except for Maryland, all of them—including Massachusetts—deregulated in the 1990s because costs rose even as quality and choice declined.

In a mere four years, Massachusetts has demonstrated that the most important effects of its reform arise not from the letter of the law but from the law’s unintended and unpredictable consequences. The state is lurching from one crisis to another as it attempts to construct a system vastly different from any seen before or anything contemplated when reform was first passed. Health care in the state is evolving toward a state-run version of Medicare combined with government reorganization of the delivery of medical care.

The cost problem in Massachusetts is not going to be solved anytime soon. The question to be asked is why we should plunge ahead with a national version of this model before we learn whether Masssachusetts’s brave new world is one in which we want to live?

Mr. Calfee, a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and frequent contributor to the Journal, died last month. His daughter Jessica Stahl, an economist, helped finalize the piece.

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Death Panels And Job Losses

CBO Director Elmendorf and former Speaker Pelosi seem to be about 4.8 million jobs apart. AP

Reform: As the head of Medicaid and Medicare services testifies in favor of ObamaCare, the CBO director says it will destroy 800,000 jobs. Talk about killing two birds with one stone.

Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi once famously said that we’d have to pass ObamaCare to see what was in it. She also boasted that the health care bill would create 4 million jobs — “400,000 of them almost immediately.”

Now that we’ve seen what’s in it, we realize the possible consequences for our physical and economic health. And congressional testimony before GOP-led committees has given us fresh reasons for repeal.

Contradicting Mrs. Pelosi, CBO director Douglas Elmendorf told the House Budget Committee on Thursday that one of the unintended consequences of ObamaCare would be a reduction in employment by half a percent by 2021.

In an exchange with Rep. John Campbell, R-Calif., Elmendorf confirmed the analysis contained in a CBO report issued last August. “That net effect reflects changes in incentives in the labor market that operate in both directions,” he said.

“The way I would put it,” Elmendorf said, “is that we do estimate … that employment will be about 160 million by the end of the decade. Half a percent of that is 800,000.” That number is 50% more than all the people who work for GM, Ford, and Chrysler combined.

ObamaCare mandates and costs will reduce hiring while some workers will have less incentive to enter the work force. In fact, Elmendorf’s number may be quite low, considering it’s been estimated that ObamaCare will impose $500 billion in new taxes and will actually cost more than $2.3 trillion in 10 years.

“Since day one,” said John Murray, deputy chief of staff for Majority Leader Eric Cantor, “Republicans have opposed ObamaCare for a simple reason: It would destroy jobs. (House) Minority Leader Pelosi, (Senate Majority) Leader Reid and others said we were wrong. Guess not.”

Meanwhile Dr. Donald Berwick, President Obama’s choice to head the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, was testifying before the House Ways and Means Committee on ObamaCare’s implications for those two programs and the seniors they serve. He also testified on his past admiration for the rationing and cost-effectiveness standards applied at Britain’s National Health Service (NHS).

In questioning Berwick, committee chairman Dave Camp, R-Mich., noted that “Medicare actuaries predict that because of the cuts in the Democrats’ health care law, 725 hospitals, 2,352 nursing homes and 1,587 home-health agencies will become unprofitable.” Rep. Sam Johnson, R-Texas, said 300 doctors in his state have already dropped Medicare.

GOP members expressed concern about what would happen after the $575 billion in Medicare cuts that ObamaCare requires were made. Testifying later, Richard Foster, nonpartisan chief actuary of Medicare, said he worried that cuts in Medicare would eventually hurt seniors as they are joined by 80 million baby boomers.

To these questions and others Berwick whistled past the actuarial graveyard, talking only about how he was “really excited about the promise the affordable care act offers.” That promise is rapidly degenerating into self-fulfilling prophecies of doom.

Camp asked Berwick point-blank about the statement he once made about Britain’s system: “I fell in love with the NHS … to an American observer, the NHS is such a seductress.” “Are you still in love with the NHS?” Camp asked. “There are strengths and weaknesses for every health care system around the world,” Berwick responded lamely.

We’ve documented how socialized medicine around the world makes decisions based on cost-effectiveness rather than medical need and has led to rationing and even denial of service, with people literally dying on waiting lists. The death panels are real, and they are coming here to place our lives and livelihoods in grave danger.

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CALIFORNIA TAXES PARENTS WHO ADD ADULT CHILDREN TO WORKPLACE HEALTH POLICIES

The Sacramento Bee –

Feb. 7: Thousands of California parents leaped at the chance to provide health coverage to their grown and uninsured children when a provision in the federal health care law took effect last fall.

Now some of those parents, such as Barry Demant of Folsom, are finding a hidden cost to the new benefit: a bigger tax bill. A loophole in California’s tax law requires the state to levy income taxes on the premiums employers pay to provide health insurance to the non-dependent children of their workers.

Last fall, Demant added his unemployed 25-year-old daughter to his company’s group health plan. That meant he no longer had to pay $180 a month to insure her through a separate individual health policy.

As part of the federal health care law, insurers are required to allow parents to enroll children up to age 26 on their health plans. “I wanted to give the health care law a chance, and I thought it would be a great opportunity, even if only selfishly, to reduce the amount I pay for her premiums,” Demant said.

He found out about the tax when his human resources department told him that a bump in income and taxes would soon appear in his paycheck. In the end, he said, some of the money he thought he was saving could evaporate in the form of increased state tax payments. Demant would not say exactly how much more he’ll be paying in taxes.

As Californians begin preparing personal income tax returns, some lawmakers are pushing to pass a law that would exempt those contributions from being subject to state personal income taxes, as was done on the federal level.

“The federal health care law dramatically changed things, and not all states have kept up with the pace of those changes. And we’re trying to make sure that we’re doing what’s right for our working families,” said Assemblyman Henry Perea, D-Fresno, who chairs the chamber’s Revenue and Taxation Committee.

Perea is a co-author of legislation, AB 36, that would conform the state tax code to federal rules that exempt the benefit from taxable income. A similar effort last year died when it was included in broader tax legislation that never made it to the governor’s desk. This time, proponents are hoping stand-alone legislation will get the necessary support.

By changing the tax code, budget-strapped California would lose a $92 million tax windfall, according to estimates by the Franchise Tax Board. “We shouldn’t consider it as a loss,” Perea said. “The benefit of making sure young adults have health insurance outweighs this new source of revenue.”

Millions affected

The new federal health care law was hailed as an answer to the millions of 20-somethings who go uninsured after falling off parents’ health plans.

Typically, dependents who aren’t bound for college have been pushed off their parents’ policies soon after graduating from high school. As many as 8.8 million young adults between the ages of 19 and 25 were uninsured in 2008, according to the Kaiser Family Foundation.

In California, about 1.3 million in that age group could benefit from the new rule, according to Young Invincibles, an advocacy group pushing to expand health coverage among the country’s young.

The new law went into effect Sept. 23 and required insurers and companies to offer the coverage. Because adult children typically don’t qualify as dependents under the tax code, employer contributions on their behalf are being counted as income by the state. The federal government exempted those contributions.

Dolores Duran-Flores, a lobbyist for the California School Employees Association, said she was surprised when she learned last month that the state would be taxing the health benefits.

Health care is an important issue for the 219,000 members of the union, mostly school support staff, already beset with layoffs and furloughs.

“It just makes sense to close this loophole,” she said. “There’s a glitch in the law, and we need to do something about it.”

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